Econ Papers Daily / 期刊论文
集中与趋同：土耳其的区域生产率，1950–2020
Concentration and convergence: Regional productivity in Türkiye, 1950–2020
摘要
This paper presents a comprehensive long‐run analysis of regional productivity convergence in Türkiye using a novel dataset combining newly compiled employment estimates with recent output estimates. The seven‐decade analysis reveals substantial productivity convergence driven by labour reallocation away from agriculture alongside within‐industry convergence. A distinctive pattern emerges: aggregate economic concentration proceeded together with productivity convergence, with distinct regional clusters forming. Furthermore, shift‐share decomposition shows industry‐mix effects persistently explain significant regional productivity variation, reflecting sustained agriculture‐other sectors productivity differences, with western regions enjoying both favourable sectoral composition and regional competitiveness advantages. From a policy perspective, agricultural productivity improvements offer significant potential for reducing regional disparities.
中文摘要
本文利用一个新颖的数据集，将新编制的就业估计数据与近期的产出估计数据相结合，对土耳其区域生产率收敛进行了全面的长期分析。这项跨越七十年的分析揭示了由劳动力从农业向外重新配置以及行业内部收敛所驱动的大幅生产率收敛。一个独特的模式浮现出来：总体经济集中与生产率收敛同步推进，并形成了各具特色的区域集群。此外，偏离-份额分解表明，行业结构效应持续解释了显著的区域生产率差异，反映出农业与其他部门之间持续存在的生产率差距，而西部区域则同时享有有利的部门构成和区域竞争力优势。从政策角度看，提高农业生产力为缩小区域差距提供了巨大潜力。