Econ Papers Daily / 期刊论文
灾难性迁移：山体滑坡的长期影响
Disastrous Displacement: The Long-Run Impacts of Landslides
摘要
Natural disasters displace millions of people a year, but their economic impacts are difficult to study when the affected population becomes dispersed. This paper estimates the longrun impacts of six landslides in Uganda on nearly the full affected population. The analysis exploits the sharp boundaries between households residing in a landslide path and those on the same slopes but outside the path. Years after the landslides, affected households earn 50% less income and are 18 percentage points less likely to report being satisfied with their lives. Further analysis points to social capital as a determinant of successful post-disaster recovery.
中文摘要
自然灾害每年导致数百万人流离失所，但当受灾人口分散时，其经济影响难以研究。本文估算了乌干达六次山体滑坡对几乎全部受灾人口的长期影响。分析利用了滑坡路径内住户与同处同一山坡但位于路径外住户之间的清晰边界。滑坡发生数年后，受灾家庭收入减少50%，对生活表示满意的可能性降低18个百分点。进一步分析表明，社会资本是灾后成功恢复的决定性因素。