Econ Papers Daily / 期刊论文
租赁市场对选举的影响：来自以色列的证据
Electoral impact of the rental market: evidence from Israel
摘要
This paper studies housing tenure and voting patterns during the period from July 2013 to July 2023 in Israel, where the rental share of housing units increased from 24% to 29%, and six national elections for parliament took place. Using detailed neighbourhood panel data on rental units share and electoral outcomes, I find that switching a neighbourhood's housing stock from fully owner‐occupied into fully rental causes the turnout rate to decrease by 8–10 percentage points. These effects are interpreted with the aid of census and survey data, a fixed effects model and a control function approach. The findings contribute to understanding how housing market dynamics influence democracies.
中文摘要
本文研究了2013年7月至2023年7月期间以色列的住房产权与投票模式，在此期间，租赁住房单元占比从24%上升至29%，并举行了六次全国议会选举。利用关于租赁单元占比和选举结果的详细社区面板数据，我发现将一个社区的住房存量从完全自有转变为完全租赁会导致投票率下降8至10个百分点。这些效应借助人口普查和调查数据、固定效应模型以及控制函数方法加以解释。这些发现有助于理解住房市场动态如何影响民主制度。