Econ Papers Daily / 期刊论文
利用遗嘱清单估算粮食储存量：肯特郡与康沃尔郡，1600-1750年
Estimating grain storage with probate inventories: Kent and Cornwall, 1600-1750
摘要
We show how probate inventories can be used to measure the seasonal pattern of grain stocks and hence provide direct information on both intra-year and inter-year storage (“carryover”). The correct procedure to quantify total carryover is a ratio-of-means statistic that consistently estimates the appropriate weighted average of individual carryover decisions. Using an existing data base of inventories, we show that the seasonal pattern is plausible, robust to alternative specifications and consistent with an alternative way of estimating carryover. We find that average carryover in the period 1600-1750 was very low in Kent and virtually zero in Cornwall.
中文摘要
我们展示了如何利用遗嘱认证清单来衡量谷物库存的季节性模式，从而直接提供年内和跨年储存（“结转”）的信息。量化总结转的正确方法是采用均值比统计量，该统计量能一致地估计个体结转决策的适当加权平均值。利用现有的清单数据库，我们表明季节性模式是合理的，对替代规格具有稳健性，并与估算结转的另一种方法相一致。我们发现，在1600年至1750年间，肯特郡的平均结转量非常低，而康沃尔郡几乎为零。