Econ Papers Daily / 期刊论文
JUE洞察：美国移民与本土代际流动性
JUE Insight: Immigration and native intergenerational mobility in the United States
摘要
Immigration continues to shape the economic and political debate in the United States. Yet, we surprisingly know little about the impact of immigration on the economic mobility of native children. Using recent data on changes in mobility and an identification strategy based on initial settlement patterns of immigrants, I study whether the large increase in the immigrant population between 1980 and 2010 had an impact on native intergenerational mobility. Despite concerns about immigration hurting native children, I find that the impact of immigration on native mobility is statistically insignificant. Moreover, I can rule out economically large effects. I show that this result can be explained by the insignificant impact of immigration on socioeconomic mechanisms previously associated with intergenerational mobility, such as parental employment or incarceration rates.
中文摘要
移民持续塑造着美国的经济与政治辩论。然而，令人意外的是，我们对移民如何影响本土儿童的经济流动性知之甚少。利用近期关于流动性变化的数据，以及基于移民初始定居模式的识别策略，我研究了1980年至2010年间移民人口的大幅增长是否对本土代际流动性产生了影响。尽管有人担忧移民会损害本土儿童的利益，但我发现移民对本土流动性的影响在统计上并不显著。此外，我可以排除具有经济意义上较大影响的可能。我进一步表明，这一结果可由移民对先前与代际流动性相关的社会经济机制——如父母就业或监禁率——影响不显著来解释。