Econ Papers Daily / 期刊论文
重新评估欧洲一体化的益处与欧盟实现战略自主的能力
Reassessing the benefits of European integration and the European Union’s ability to achieve strategic autonomy
摘要
European integration is now faced with the question of strategic autonomy. Against this backdrop, this paper has three objectives. First, it uses disaggregated trade data and established empirical methods to assess the benefits of European integration on trade among the members of the European Union (EU) as well as on trade between EU members and non-member countries, including non-members that are part of the Single Market. Second, it evaluates the costs of EU strategic autonomy – implying not trading with “riskier” partners. Third, it asks whether deeper integration within the EU can alleviate these costs. The paper shows that the gains from European integration are substantial, albeit heterogeneous across Member States, non-members, and sectors, and that the costs of strategic autonomy can be offset by deeper, but comparatively more modest, integration efforts within the European Union.
中文摘要
欧洲一体化当前面临战略自主的问题。在此背景下，本文有三个目标。第一，运用分解贸易数据和既有实证方法，评估欧洲一体化对欧盟成员国之间贸易以及对欧盟成员国与非成员国（包括属于单一市场的非成员国）之间贸易的益处。第二，评估欧盟战略自主的成本——这意味着不与“风险较高”的伙伴进行贸易。第三，探讨欧盟内部更深层次的一体化能否缓解这些成本。本文表明，欧洲一体化带来的收益是巨大的，尽管在成员国、非成员国和部门之间呈现异质性，而战略自主的成本可以通过欧盟内部更深层次但相对更为温和的一体化努力来抵消。