Econ Papers Daily / 期刊论文
不平等加剧，流动性下降：德国代际流动性的演变
Rising inequality, declining mobility: The evolution of intergenerational mobility in Germany
摘要
This paper is the first to systematically show that intergenerational income mobility in Germany has decreased over time. We estimate intergenerational persistence for the birth cohorts 1968–1987 and find that it rises sharply for cohorts born in the late 1970s and early 1980s, after which it stabilizes at a higher level. As a step toward understanding the mechanisms behind this increase, we show that parental income has become more important for the educational outcomes of children. Moreover, we show that the increase in intergenerational persistence has coincided with a surge in cross-sectional income inequality, providing novel evidence for an “Intertemporal Great Gatsby Curve”.
中文摘要
本文首次系统性地表明，德国的代际收入流动性随时间推移而下降。我们估计了1968—1987年出生队列的代际持续性，发现对于20世纪70年代末和80年代初出生的队列，代际持续性急剧上升，此后稳定在较高水平。作为理解这一上升背后机制的一步，我们表明父母收入对子女教育结果的重要性有所增加。此外，我们表明代际持续性的上升与横截面收入不平等的激增同时发生，为“跨期盖茨比曲线”提供了新的证据。