Econ Papers Daily / 期刊论文

不同发展阶段排放与不平等的关系

The emission-inequality nexus across stages of development

Francesco Lamperti, Elisa Palagi, Tommaso Perniola

来源
World Development · 期刊论文
本站首次发现
2026-10-12 15:52
日期信息
Crossref 元数据日期 2026-10-12 · 来源:Crossref
主题
环境与气候发展经济学公共与政治经济学理论与博弈

摘要

Does a more unequal society emit more CO 2 ? The nexus between carbon emissions and income inequality has been at the core of a vast literature yielding conflicting results. Here, we provide robust evidence of a non-linear relationship that depends on the structural composition of the economy. Specifically, we document a positive association between income inequality—measured using five different indicators, for both pre-tax and post-tax income—and per capita carbon emissions in highly tertiarized countries. By contrast, this relationship turns negative in non-service-intensive economies. We provide evidence for plausible mechanisms mediating this non-linear association. In particular, the investment carbon footprint of the top 1% and the size of the manufacturing sector emerge as key dimensions underlying the observed patterns. Our results point to the structural composition of the economy as a crucial factor shaping the emission-inequality nexus. As such, economic structure helps identify phases of development in which reducing inequality comes with climate-related benefits.

中文摘要

一个更加不平等的社会会排放更多二氧化碳吗?碳排放与收入不平等之间的关系一直是大量文献研究的核心,但所得结果相互矛盾。在此,我们提供了稳健的证据,表明二者之间存在一种取决于经济结构构成的非线性关系。具体而言,我们记录了在高度服务化的国家中,收入不平等——使用五种不同指标衡量,涵盖税前和税后收入——与人均碳排放之间存在正相关关系。相比之下,在非服务密集型经济体中,这一关系转为负向。我们为中介这一非线性关系的可能机制提供了证据。特别是,前1%人群的投资碳足迹以及制造业部门的规模,成为支撑所观察模式的关键维度。我们的结果表明,经济结构构成是塑造排放—不平等关系的关键因素。因此,经济结构有助于识别在哪些发展阶段,减少不平等会同时带来与气候相关的收益。