Econ Papers Daily / 期刊论文
制造业的无条件收敛：一个再评估
Unconditional Convergence in Manufacturing: A Reassessment
摘要
The movement of labor out of the agricultural sector is a central feature of the development process. A long-held belief is that successful development requires that much of the labor released from agriculture be allocated to manufacturing rather than services. Rodrik’s (2013) finding of unconditional convergence for manufacturing productivity using data from UNIDO provided empirical support for this view. We argue that the UNIDO data are ill–suited to study cross-country productivity dynamics. We use recently released data from the GGDC that was developed especially to study cross-country sectoral productivity dynamics to revisit this issue. We find no evidence of unconditional convergence in manufacturing productivity over the period 1990–2018.
中文摘要
劳动力从农业部门转移是发展进程的核心特征。长期以来，人们普遍认为成功的发展需要将农业释放的大部分劳动力配置到制造业而非服务业。Rodrik（2013）基于联合国工业发展组织（UNIDO）数据发现的制造业生产率无条件趋同现象，为这一观点提供了实证支持。我们认为UNIDO数据并不适用于研究跨国生产率动态。本文采用GGDC最新发布的、专为研究跨国部门生产率动态而开发的数据集重新审视该问题。研究发现，1990-2018年期间不存在制造业生产率无条件趋同的证据。